Hwaseong 1-1 Gimhae City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
38%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
45%
-10.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
38%
Away Win
26%
+11.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.2pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hwaseong EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimhae City EU Bookmakers 30%
-5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.01/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.01
-23% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +20%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
349 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hwaseong
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Gimhae City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
26.08.2023 Gimhae City Gimhae City 2-2 HT 0-1 Hwaseong Hwaseong GK3L
29.04.2023 Hwaseong Hwaseong 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
11.06.2022 Gimhae City Gimhae City 0-0 HT 0-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GK3L
27.02.2022 Hwaseong Hwaseong 1-3 HT 0-2 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
29.08.2021 Gimhae City Gimhae City 1-1 HT 1-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GK3L
25.04.2021 Hwaseong Hwaseong 1-0 HT 1-0 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
POST-MATCH Hwaseong vs Gimhae City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hwaseong and Gimhae City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Hwaseong and 1.00 for Gimhae City.

What was the final score of Hwaseong vs Gimhae City?

Hwaseong 1-1 Gimhae City in the South Kore - K3 League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hwaseong vs Gimhae City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gimhae City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hwaseong 34%, draw 28%, Gimhae City 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gimhae City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gimhae City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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