Eik Toensberg 1-2 Notodden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.38
Over 2.5
52%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
5.01
2-3 Goals
39%
1.95
4-5 Goals
25%
2.76
6+ Goals
11%
7.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.01 — our 25% vs market 15.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
60%
-5.0pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.9pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+4.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.4pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eik Toensberg EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Notodden EU Bookmakers 22%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
2.65/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/2.34
+19% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
413 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eik Toensberg
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Notodden
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2024 Notodden Notodden 0-0 HT 0-0 Eik Toensberg Eik Toensberg NOR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eik Toensberg
1-2
AWAY Notodden
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Eik Toensberg vs Notodden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Notodden edged past Eik Toensberg 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Eik Toensberg at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Eik Toensberg had 43% of the ball to Notodden's 57%, shots finished 15-12.

What was the final score of Eik Toensberg vs Notodden?

Eik Toensberg 1-2 Notodden in the Norway - 2nd Division on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eik Toensberg vs Notodden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eik Toensberg win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Eik Toensberg 54%, draw 22%, Notodden 23%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Eik Toensberg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Eik Toensberg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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