Eastern Lions 3-2 Bentleigh Greens — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Victoria NPL 2, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
46%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.33
Over 2.5
47%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.5
No
56%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
30%
-2.4pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.6pp
46%
Away Win
47%
-1.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
39%
+14.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
61%
-14.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
62%
-18.8pp
56%
BTTS No
38%
+18.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastern Lions EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Bentleigh Greens EU Bookmakers 51%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +41% / +41%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
315 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastern Lions
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Bentleigh Greens
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
0.23 xG 2.04
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
230 Passes 410
68% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.07.2022 Bentleigh Greens Bentleigh Greens 3-0 HT 1-0 Eastern Lions Eastern Lions AVNPL
09.04.2022 Eastern Lions Eastern Lions 1-4 HT 1-2 Bentleigh Greens Bentleigh Greens AVNPL
27.02.2021 Eastern Lions Eastern Lions 1-3 HT 0-3 Bentleigh Greens Bentleigh Greens AVNPL
POST-MATCH Eastern Lions vs Bentleigh Greens
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastern Lions squeezed past Bentleigh Greens 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Bentleigh Greens at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bentleigh Greens led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Eastern Lions and 3.33 for Bentleigh Greens.

What was the final score of Eastern Lions vs Bentleigh Greens?

Eastern Lions 3-2 Bentleigh Greens in the Australia - Victoria NPL 2 on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastern Lions vs Bentleigh Greens?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bentleigh Greens win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Eastern Lions 27%, draw 27%, Bentleigh Greens 46%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bentleigh Greens) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NPL2 More Australia - Victoria NPL 2
6 Jul 2024
10:30 Sunshine Georgies vs Northcote City Analysis →
11:00 Preston vs North Geelong Warriors Analysis →