Preston 3-2 North Geelong Warriors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Victoria NPL 2, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
20%
2.89
Over 2.5
80%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
74%
1.49
No
26%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
8%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
39%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
62%
-7.3pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.1pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+4.2pp
20%
Under 2.5
31%
-11.4pp
80%
Over 2.5
69%
+11.4pp
74%
BTTS Yes
63%
+10.5pp
26%
BTTS No
37%
-10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Preston EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY North Geelong Warriors EU Bookmakers 22%
-76% / -76% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
384 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Preston vs North Geelong Warriors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Preston nicked a narrow win over North Geelong Warriors 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Preston as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (80%), both teams to score (74%) came in.

What was the final score of Preston vs North Geelong Warriors?

Preston 3-2 North Geelong Warriors in the Australia - Victoria NPL 2 on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Preston vs North Geelong Warriors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Preston win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Preston 55%, draw 22%, North Geelong Warriors 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Preston), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Preston) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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