Tormenta 0-1 One Knoxville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.09
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.97
Over 2.5
56%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
44%
+3.1pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.0pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
47%
-2.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
53%
+2.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.7pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tormenta EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY One Knoxville EU Bookmakers 34%
-14% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
1.42/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.77
-13% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +48%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
17.8 Crosses 19.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tormenta
2W-0D-2L
AWAY One Knoxville
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.81 xG 0.73
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
303 Passes 332
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 One Knoxville One Knoxville 1-0 HT 1-0 Tormenta Tormenta USL1
24.09.2023 Tormenta Tormenta 1-0 HT 1-0 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
02.09.2023 Tormenta Tormenta 1-3 HT 0-2 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
22.04.2023 One Knoxville One Knoxville 0-2 HT 0-0 Tormenta Tormenta USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tormenta
0-1
AWAY One Knoxville
0.71 xG 0.61
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 2
419 Passes 282
88% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 6
27 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tormenta vs One Knoxville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

One Knoxville nicked a narrow win over Tormenta 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Tormenta at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tormenta had 58% of the ball to One Knoxville's 42%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 0.71 to 0.61.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tormenta and 1.00 for One Knoxville.

What was the final score of Tormenta vs One Knoxville?

Tormenta 0-1 One Knoxville in the USA - USL League 1 on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tormenta vs One Knoxville?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tormenta win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Tormenta 47%, draw 22%, One Knoxville 31%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tormenta) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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