North Carolina II 1-3 Wake — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.49
Draw
30%
4.34
Away
27%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.96
Over 2.5
57%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.5
No
52%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
63%
-19.6pp
30%
Draw
20%
+10.2pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
30%
+12.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
70%
-12.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
62%
-14.3pp
52%
BTTS No
38%
+14.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME North Carolina II EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Wake EU Bookmakers 21%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +50% / +50%
2.51/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.37/1.56
+8% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +94% / +49%
57% Ball Possession 43%
25 Total Shots 10
14 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
449 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME North Carolina II
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Wake
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
13.06.2024 Wake Wake 2-3 HT 0-2 North Carolina II North Carolina II USL2
10.06.2023 North Carolina II North Carolina II 0-1 HT 0-1 Wake Wake USL2
01.06.2023 Wake Wake 2-2 HT 0-0 North Carolina II North Carolina II USL2
POST-MATCH North Carolina II vs Wake
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wake saw off North Carolina II 3-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was North Carolina II at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for North Carolina II and 1.67 for Wake.

What was the final score of North Carolina II vs Wake?

North Carolina II 1-3 Wake in the USA - USL League 2 on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for North Carolina II vs Wake?

Before kick-off our model rated a North Carolina II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split North Carolina II 43%, draw 30%, Wake 27%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (North Carolina II), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (North Carolina II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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