Thunder Bay Chill 3-2 Minneapolis City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.86
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
23%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-7.0pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.1pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+2.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thunder Bay Chill EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Minneapolis City EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thunder Bay Chill
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Minneapolis City
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.06.2024 Minneapolis City Minneapolis City 1-0 HT 1-0 Thunder Bay Chill Thunder Bay Chill USL2
08.07.2023 Thunder Bay Chill Thunder Bay Chill 2-2 HT 1-0 Minneapolis City Minneapolis City USL2
29.06.2023 Minneapolis City Minneapolis City 1-3 HT 0-2 Thunder Bay Chill Thunder Bay Chill USL2
07.07.2022 Minneapolis City Minneapolis City 1-2 HT 0-1 Thunder Bay Chill Thunder Bay Chill USL2
POST-MATCH Thunder Bay Chill vs Minneapolis City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thunder Bay Chill squeezed past Minneapolis City 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Thunder Bay Chill as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Thunder Bay Chill had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Thunder Bay Chill and 1.25 for Minneapolis City.

What was the final score of Thunder Bay Chill vs Minneapolis City?

Thunder Bay Chill 3-2 Minneapolis City in the USA - USL League 2 on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thunder Bay Chill vs Minneapolis City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thunder Bay Chill win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Thunder Bay Chill 43%, draw 31%, Minneapolis City 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thunder Bay Chill), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Thunder Bay Chill) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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