Capital 2-3 United PDX — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.71
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
59%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.74
Over 2.5
64%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
No
39%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
33%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
18%
+2.8pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.7pp
59%
Away Win
61%
-2.2pp
36%
Under 2.5
33%
+3.3pp
64%
Over 2.5
67%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Capital EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY United PDX EU Bookmakers 66%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-28% / -64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
239 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 440 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Capital
0W-0D-2L
AWAY United PDX
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 4.50
27.06.2024 United PDX United PDX 5-0 HT 0-0 Capital Capital USL2
12.06.2023 Capital Capital 1-4 HT 0-2 United PDX United PDX USL2
POST-MATCH Capital vs United PDX
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

United PDX edged past Capital 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had United PDX as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, United PDX led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Capital and 4.50 for United PDX.

What was the final score of Capital vs United PDX?

Capital 2-3 United PDX in the USA - USL League 2 on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Capital vs United PDX?

Before kick-off our model rated an United PDX win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Capital 21%, draw 20%, United PDX 59%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (United PDX), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (United PDX) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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