Rhode Island 3-3 Indy Eleven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
37%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.6
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
27%
3.34
6+ Goals
10%
12.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
43%
-5.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+6.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.0pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rhode Island EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Indy Eleven EU Bookmakers 34%
-54% / -54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +33%
1.73/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.26
-33% / -58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
328 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 79%
41.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
34.0 Crosses 17.8
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rhode Island
3-3
AWAY Indy Eleven
1.86 xG 0.91
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 8
337 Passes 195
80% Pass Accuracy 68%
27 Box Touches 18
26 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rhode Island vs Indy Eleven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rhode Island and Indy Eleven couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Rhode Island had 59% of the ball to Indy Eleven's 41%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.86 to 0.91.

What was the final score of Rhode Island vs Indy Eleven?

Rhode Island 3-3 Indy Eleven in the USL Championship on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rhode Island vs Indy Eleven?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rhode Island win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Rhode Island 37%, draw 26%, Indy Eleven 37%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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