Charleston Battery 2-0 Birmingham Legion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.91
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.16
6+ Goals
11%
10.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.91 — our 26% vs market 20.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
57%
-5.2pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.5pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.1pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charleston Battery EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Birmingham Legion EU Bookmakers 23%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +8%
1.99/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.43
+44% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +27%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
355 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 73%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
20.1 Crosses 15.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charleston Battery
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Birmingham Legion
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.12 xG 1.11
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
332 Passes 279
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.05.2024 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 0-1 HT 0-0 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
29.10.2023 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 2-1 HT 1-1 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
15.10.2023 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 1-0 HT 1-0 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
30.07.2023 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 1-2 HT 1-0 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
10.07.2022 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 0-3 HT 0-1 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
28.04.2022 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 2-1 HT 1-1 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charleston Battery
2-0
AWAY Birmingham Legion
2.96 xG 0.49
62% Ball Possession 38%
24 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
516 Passes 283
89% Pass Accuracy 81%
35 Box Touches 10
20 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Charleston Battery vs Birmingham Legion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charleston Battery beat Birmingham Legion 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Charleston Battery as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Charleston Battery had 62% of the ball to Birmingham Legion's 38%, shots finished 24-9, expected goals 2.96 to 0.49.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charleston Battery had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Charleston Battery and 1.17 for Birmingham Legion.

What was the final score of Charleston Battery vs Birmingham Legion?

Charleston Battery 2-0 Birmingham Legion in the USL Championship on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charleston Battery vs Birmingham Legion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charleston Battery win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Charleston Battery 52%, draw 24%, Birmingham Legion 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charleston Battery), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Charleston Battery) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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