Djurgarden 5-1 Degerfors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 6 Jul 2025

📅06/07/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.66
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.81
2-3 Goals
36%
1.87
4-5 Goals
27%
3.34
6+ Goals
9%
11.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.17
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
10%
14.35
X/1
14%
4.3
X/2
13%
9.77
X/X
11%
5.46
2/1
6%
22.45
2/2
11%
7.64
2/X
8%
15.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
56%
-13.7pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.4pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+8.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.2pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Djurgarden EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Degerfors EU Bookmakers 24%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +20%
1.50/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.73
-12% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
430 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
23.4 Crosses 19.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Djurgarden
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Degerfors
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.55 xG 1.24
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
472 Passes 357
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
29 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2024 Djurgarden Djurgarden 3-0 HT 0-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇK
27.08.2023 Djurgarden Djurgarden 4-1 HT 3-1 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
30.04.2023 Degerfors Degerfors 2-1 HT 1-1 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
01.10.2022 Degerfors Degerfors 3-0 HT 1-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
04.04.2022 Djurgarden Djurgarden 3-1 HT 1-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
22.09.2021 Djurgarden Djurgarden 3-2 HT 2-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Djurgarden
5-1
AWAY Degerfors
4.05 xG 0.91
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
425 Passes 306
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
35 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Djurgarden vs Degerfors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Djurgarden ran out comfortable winners over Degerfors 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Djurgarden as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Djurgarden had 57% of the ball to Degerfors's 43%, shots finished 20-13, expected goals 4.05 to 0.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Djurgarden had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Djurgarden and 1.50 for Degerfors.

What was the final score of Djurgarden vs Degerfors?

Djurgarden 5-1 Degerfors in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 06/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Djurgarden vs Degerfors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Djurgarden win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Djurgarden 42%, draw 29%, Degerfors 29%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Djurgarden), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Djurgarden) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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