Göteborg 3-1 IK Sirius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 6 Jul 2025

📅06/07/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.56
No
52%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.74
2-3 Goals
39%
1.97
4-5 Goals
24%
2.93
6+ Goals
11%
8.18
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.74 — our 26% vs market 17.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.28
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.15
X/1
16%
4.66
X/2 EV+ ✗
14%
9.2
X/X
13%
5.84
2/1
7%
20.9
2/2
9%
6.51
2/X
9%
14.35
Value flag · X/2 at 9.2 — our 14% vs market 7.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-6.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+4.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.0pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Göteborg EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY IK Sirius EU Bookmakers 27%
-3% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -3%
1.75/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.59
-4% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 77%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
24.8 Crosses 17.6
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Göteborg
2W-2D-2L
AWAY IK Sirius
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.36 xG 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 7
320 Passes 380
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 21
23 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2024 Göteborg Göteborg 1-1 HT 0-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
16.05.2024 IK Sirius IK Sirius 2-2 HT 1-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
07.10.2023 Göteborg Göteborg 0-1 HT 0-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
11.06.2023 IK Sirius IK Sirius 2-0 HT 1-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
28.08.2022 Göteborg Göteborg 2-0 HT 1-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
27.06.2022 IK Sirius IK Sirius 1-2 HT 1-1 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Göteborg
3-1
AWAY IK Sirius
1.82 xG 1.45
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
372 Passes 342
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Göteborg vs IK Sirius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Göteborg got the better of IK Sirius 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Göteborg as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Göteborg had 52% of the ball to IK Sirius's 48%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.82 to 1.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Göteborg and 1.17 for IK Sirius.

What was the final score of Göteborg vs IK Sirius?

Göteborg 3-1 IK Sirius in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 06/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Göteborg vs IK Sirius?

Before kick-off our model rated a Göteborg win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Göteborg 46%, draw 26%, IK Sirius 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Göteborg) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Göteborg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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