Göteborg 1-1 IK Sirius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
40%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.99
2-3 Goals
36%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.11
6+ Goals
14%
10.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.12
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
6%
12.6
X/1
11%
5.17
X/2
15%
6.36
X/X
9%
5.02
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
19%
4.18
2/X
9%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-6.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
40%
Away Win
32%
+8.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.0pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Göteborg EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY IK Sirius EU Bookmakers 36%
-12% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +18%
1.11/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.22
-35% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
371 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 79%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
22.4 Crosses 17.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Göteborg
2W-2D-2L
AWAY IK Sirius
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.32 xG 1.65
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
312 Passes 425
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.05.2024 IK Sirius IK Sirius 2-2 HT 1-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
07.10.2023 Göteborg Göteborg 0-1 HT 0-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
11.06.2023 IK Sirius IK Sirius 2-0 HT 1-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
28.08.2022 Göteborg Göteborg 2-0 HT 1-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
27.06.2022 IK Sirius IK Sirius 1-2 HT 1-1 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
21.11.2021 IK Sirius IK Sirius 3-3 HT 2-2 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Göteborg
1-1
AWAY IK Sirius
2.15 xG 0.53
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 9
332 Passes 329
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Göteborg vs IK Sirius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Göteborg and IK Sirius couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Göteborg had 50% of the ball to IK Sirius's 50%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 2.15 to 0.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Göteborg and 1.50 for IK Sirius.

What was the final score of Göteborg vs IK Sirius?

Göteborg 1-1 IK Sirius in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Göteborg vs IK Sirius?

Before kick-off our model rated an IK Sirius win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Göteborg 35%, draw 25%, IK Sirius 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (IK Sirius), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IK Sirius) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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