IFK Varnamo 0-3 Hammarby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 17 Aug 2024

IFK Varnamo
0-3 HT 0-1
Hammarby
📅17/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

IFK Varnamo vs Hammarby Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.9
Over 2.5
39%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.68
No
62%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
3.38
2-3 Goals
33%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
3.51
6+ Goals
10%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 38% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.91
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
14%
5.81
X/2
17%
5.41
X/X
14%
4.55
2/1
5%
29.5
2/2
16%
3.54
2/X
6%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-2.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+2.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
49%
+11.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
51%
-11.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
56%
-17.1pp
62%
BTTS No
44%
+17.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

IFK Varnamo v Hammarby — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Varnamo EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Hammarby EU Bookmakers 40%
-20% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -1%
1.09/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.34
-21% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
432 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 81%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
17.6 Crosses 18.9
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1

IFK Varnamo vs Hammarby Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Varnamo
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Hammarby
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.15 xG 1.18
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
318 Passes 511
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 27
10 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.05.2024 Hammarby Hammarby 1-2 HT 0-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
04.11.2023 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 0-0 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
29.05.2023 Hammarby Hammarby 0-2 HT 0-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
31.07.2022 Hammarby Hammarby 1-2 HT 0-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
29.05.2022 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 1-0 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
31.08.2014 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 0-2 HT 0-1 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ2

IFK Varnamo 0-3 Hammarby — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IFK Varnamo
0-3
AWAY Hammarby
0.65 xG 2.01
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
288 Passes 477
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH IFK Varnamo vs Hammarby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hammarby cruised past IFK Varnamo 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Hammarby found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (62%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, IFK Varnamo had 40% of the ball to Hammarby's 60%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 0.65 to 2.01.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, IFK Varnamo had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for IFK Varnamo and 0.67 for Hammarby.

What was the final score of IFK Varnamo vs Hammarby?

IFK Varnamo 0-3 Hammarby in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Varnamo vs Hammarby?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hammarby win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split IFK Varnamo 34%, draw 27%, Hammarby 39%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hammarby), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hammarby) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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