Vasteras SK FK 2-1 Kalmar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.52
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.4
6+ Goals
8%
12.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 27% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.28
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.05
X/1
14%
3.99
X/2
8%
8.7
X/X
15%
5.29
2/1
7%
22.7
2/2
9%
6.64
2/X
7%
15.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-5.6pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.3pp
23%
Away Win
23%
+0.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.5pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vasteras SK FK EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Kalmar EU Bookmakers 26%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -2%
1.97/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.65
-43% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
38.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
39.8 Crosses 15.2
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vasteras SK FK
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Kalmar
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.77 xG 0.83
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
302 Passes 579
83% Pass Accuracy 90%
24 Box Touches 31
18 Crosses 26
0 Yellow Cards 1
02.06.2024 Kalmar Kalmar 0-4 HT 0-1 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vasteras SK FK
2-1
AWAY Kalmar
1.65 xG 0.48
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
428 Passes 295
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Vasteras SK FK vs Kalmar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vasteras SK FK edged past Kalmar 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vasteras SK FK as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vasteras SK FK had 56% of the ball to Kalmar's 44%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.65 to 0.48.

What was the final score of Vasteras SK FK vs Kalmar?

Vasteras SK FK 2-1 Kalmar in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vasteras SK FK vs Kalmar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vasteras SK FK win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Vasteras SK FK 47%, draw 29%, Kalmar 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vasteras SK FK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vasteras SK FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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