Kalmar 0-4 Vasteras SK FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
32%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.21
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.66
6+ Goals
9%
15.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 31% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.89
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
5%
12.95
X/1
14%
5.69
X/2
13%
5.41
X/X
15%
4.44
2/1
10%
30.0
2/2
13%
3.63
2/X
8%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+4.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-4.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.2pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kalmar EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Vasteras SK FK EU Bookmakers 40%
-7% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.14/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.11/1.97
-27% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
403 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 77%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.0
18.7 Crosses 32.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kalmar
0-4
AWAY Vasteras SK FK
0.83 xG 2.77
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 3
579 Passes 302
90% Pass Accuracy 83%
31 Box Touches 24
26 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kalmar vs Vasteras SK FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vasteras SK FK cruised past Kalmar 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Vasteras SK FK found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Kalmar had 64% of the ball to Vasteras SK FK's 36%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 0.83 to 2.77.

What was the final score of Kalmar vs Vasteras SK FK?

Kalmar 0-4 Vasteras SK FK in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kalmar vs Vasteras SK FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kalmar win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kalmar 40%, draw 28%, Vasteras SK FK 32%. The final score 0-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kalmar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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