Djurgarden 0-3 Hammarby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 2 Jun 2024

Djurgarden
0-3 HT 0-2
Hammarby
📅02/06/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

Djurgarden vs Hammarby Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.05
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.09
6+ Goals
11%
9.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.05 — our 25% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.27
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.45
X/1
11%
4.15
X/2
10%
8.7
X/X
12%
5.59
2/1
13%
21.85
2/2
10%
6.29
2/X
8%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-5.6pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.3pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.2pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Djurgarden v Hammarby — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Djurgarden EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Hammarby EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -9%
1.51/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.46
+4% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 79%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
24.9 Crosses 18.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0

Djurgarden vs Hammarby Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Djurgarden
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Hammarby
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.50 xG 1.30
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
318 Passes 414
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
22.10.2023 Djurgarden Djurgarden 0-0 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
14.05.2023 Hammarby Hammarby 4-3 HT 2-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
11.09.2022 Hammarby Hammarby 0-0 HT 0-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
03.07.2022 Djurgarden Djurgarden 1-0 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
12.09.2021 Djurgarden Djurgarden 4-1 HT 3-1 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
16.05.2021 Hammarby Hammarby 2-2 HT 0-1 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ

Djurgarden 0-3 Hammarby — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Djurgarden
0-3
AWAY Hammarby
1.12 xG 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
343 Passes 408
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 11
23 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Djurgarden vs Hammarby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hammarby swept aside Djurgarden 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Djurgarden at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Djurgarden had 47% of the ball to Hammarby's 53%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.12 to 1.67.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Djurgarden had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Djurgarden and 1.17 for Hammarby.

What was the final score of Djurgarden vs Hammarby?

Djurgarden 0-3 Hammarby in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Djurgarden vs Hammarby?

Before kick-off our model rated a Djurgarden win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Djurgarden 47%, draw 27%, Hammarby 26%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Djurgarden) ✗ BTTS Yes
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