IFK Varnamo 1-2 Mjallby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 2 Jun 2024

IFK Varnamo
1-2 HT 0-1
Mjallby
📅02/06/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

IFK Varnamo vs Mjallby Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.64
Over 2.5
50%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.66
2-3 Goals
47%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.41
6+ Goals
6%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.85
1/2
8%
33.0
1/X
6%
13.65
X/1
11%
5.29
X/2
12%
5.41
X/X
18%
4.03
2/1
4%
32.5
2/2
15%
3.97
2/X
7%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-2.3pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.2pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
57%
-7.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
43%
+7.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

IFK Varnamo v Mjallby — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Varnamo EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Mjallby EU Bookmakers 38%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
0.55/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.08
-55% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +18%
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
456 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
18.7 Crosses 16.7
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.7

IFK Varnamo vs Mjallby Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Varnamo
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Mjallby
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.82 xG 1.59
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
438 Passes 351
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.10.2023 Mjallby Mjallby 2-3 HT 2-1 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
10.04.2023 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 0-1 HT 0-1 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
03.10.2022 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 2-1 HT 1-1 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
14.05.2022 Mjallby Mjallby 1-1 HT 0-1 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
25.10.2015 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 4-0 HT 2-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ2
25.05.2015 Mjallby Mjallby 1-0 HT 1-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ2

IFK Varnamo 1-2 Mjallby — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IFK Varnamo
1-2
AWAY Mjallby
2.02 xG 2.24
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
489 Passes 351
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
35 Box Touches 26
23 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH IFK Varnamo vs Mjallby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjallby edged past IFK Varnamo 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 31% / 35%) promised a tight game; Mjallby found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, IFK Varnamo had 57% of the ball to Mjallby's 43%, shots finished 18-17, expected goals 2.02 to 2.24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, IFK Varnamo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for IFK Varnamo and 1.00 for Mjallby.

What was the final score of IFK Varnamo vs Mjallby?

IFK Varnamo 1-2 Mjallby in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Varnamo vs Mjallby?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mjallby win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split IFK Varnamo 34%, draw 31%, Mjallby 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mjallby) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mjallby)
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