Gimnasia Mendoza 1-0 Estudiantes Caseros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 6 Jul 2025

📅06/07/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.75
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
Over 2.5
29%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.44
No
64%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
54%
-12.4pp
33%
Draw
28%
+4.6pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+7.8pp
36%
BTTS Yes
37%
-0.6pp
64%
BTTS No
63%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia Mendoza EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes Caseros EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +4%
1.24/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.13
-6% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
328 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia Mendoza
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Estudiantes Caseros
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
02.03.2025 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
02.11.2024 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 1-1 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
05.11.2022 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 0-1 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
30.10.2022 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 1-0 HT 1-0 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
02.10.2022 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 1-0 HT 1-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
21.08.2021 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Gimnasia Mendoza vs Estudiantes Caseros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia Mendoza squeezed past Estudiantes Caseros 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gimnasia Mendoza as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Estudiantes Caseros led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Gimnasia Mendoza and 0.50 for Estudiantes Caseros.

What was the final score of Gimnasia Mendoza vs Estudiantes Caseros?

Gimnasia Mendoza 1-0 Estudiantes Caseros in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 06/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia Mendoza vs Estudiantes Caseros?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia Mendoza win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia Mendoza 41%, draw 33%, Estudiantes Caseros 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnasia Mendoza), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gimnasia Mendoza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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