Queensland Lions 3-0 St George Willawong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 6 Jul 2025

📅06/07/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.22
Draw
21%
6.26
Away
16%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.68
No
55%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
78%
-14.9pp
21%
Draw
13%
+7.6pp
16%
Away Win
9%
+7.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.9pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queensland Lions EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY St George Willawong EU Bookmakers 11%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
3.03/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.97
+9% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +150%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
408 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.4 Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queensland Lions
1W-0D-0L
AWAY St George Willawong
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
12.04.2025 St George Willawong St George Willawong 0-3 HT 0-2 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
POST-MATCH Queensland Lions vs St George Willawong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queensland Lions cruised past St George Willawong 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Queensland Lions as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Queensland Lions vs St George Willawong?

Queensland Lions 3-0 St George Willawong in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 06/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queensland Lions vs St George Willawong?

Before kick-off our model rated a Queensland Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Queensland Lions 63%, draw 21%, St George Willawong 16%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Queensland Lions), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Queensland Lions) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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