St George Willawong 0-3 Queensland Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 12 Apr 2025

St George Willawong
0-3 HT 0-2
Queensland Lions
📅12/04/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Australia - Queensland NPL – 2025

St George Willawong vs Queensland Lions Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.4
Draw
27%
4.62
Away
47%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.74
Over 2.5
56%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
15%
+10.3pp
27%
Draw
18%
+8.6pp
48%
Away Win
66%
-18.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
33%
+10.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
67%
-10.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.3pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

St George Willawong v Queensland Lions — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St George Willawong EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Queensland Lions EU Bookmakers 71%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -17%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
247 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 443 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses 24.5
– Yellow Cards 0.8
POST-MATCH St George Willawong vs Queensland Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queensland Lions ran out comfortable winners over St George Willawong 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Queensland Lions as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

What was the final score of St George Willawong vs Queensland Lions?

St George Willawong 0-3 Queensland Lions in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St George Willawong vs Queensland Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated an Queensland Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split St George Willawong 26%, draw 27%, Queensland Lions 48%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Queensland Lions), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Queensland Lions) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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