Gold Coast United 1-0 Peninsula Power — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
50%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.33
Over 2.5
65%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.49
No
40%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
30%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
31%
-6.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
50%
Away Win
45%
+5.2pp
35%
Under 2.5
39%
-4.1pp
65%
Over 2.5
61%
+4.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
63%
-3.5pp
40%
BTTS No
37%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gold Coast United EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Peninsula Power EU Bookmakers 49%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.09/2.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.36
+16% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / +23%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
277 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.4 Crosses 16.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gold Coast United
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Peninsula Power
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.89 xG 4.20
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
324 Passes 269
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.06.2024 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United 2-3 HT 1-0 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVNPL
16.03.2024 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 3-1 HT 1-1 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United AVNPL
01.09.2023 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United 1-3 HT 1-2 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVSQ
24.06.2023 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United 2-2 HT 1-1 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVSQ
19.03.2023 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 0-2 HT 0-1 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United AVNPL
24.08.2022 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United 1-3 HT 0-1 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVSQ
POST-MATCH Gold Coast United vs Peninsula Power
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gold Coast United nicked a narrow win over Peninsula Power 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Peninsula Power at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peninsula Power led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gold Coast United and 2.33 for Peninsula Power.

What was the final score of Gold Coast United vs Peninsula Power?

Gold Coast United 1-0 Peninsula Power in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gold Coast United vs Peninsula Power?

Before kick-off our model rated an Peninsula Power win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Gold Coast United 25%, draw 25%, Peninsula Power 50%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Peninsula Power) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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