Peninsula Power 3-1 Gold Coast United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-6.7pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.9pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.2pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peninsula Power EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Gold Coast United EU Bookmakers 32%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
2.01/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.58
-76% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
296 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.0 Crosses 17.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peninsula Power
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Gold Coast United
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.95 xG 1.68
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
325 Passes 277
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.09.2023 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United 1-3 HT 1-2 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVSQ
24.06.2023 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United 2-2 HT 1-1 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVSQ
19.03.2023 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 0-2 HT 0-1 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United AVNPL
24.08.2022 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United 1-3 HT 0-1 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVSQ
23.04.2022 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 3-1 HT 1-1 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United AVSQ
16.10.2021 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 3-5 HT 1-3 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United AVSQ
POST-MATCH Peninsula Power vs Gold Coast United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peninsula Power beat Gold Coast United 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Peninsula Power made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peninsula Power had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Peninsula Power and 2.00 for Gold Coast United.

What was the final score of Peninsula Power vs Gold Coast United?

Peninsula Power 3-1 Gold Coast United in the Australia - National Premier League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peninsula Power vs Gold Coast United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Peninsula Power win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Peninsula Power 40%, draw 28%, Gold Coast United 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Peninsula Power), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Peninsula Power) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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