Amazonas 0-1 Atletico Paranaense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 6 Jul 2025

Amazonas
0-1 HT 0-1
Atletico Paranaense
📅06/07/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2025

Amazonas vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
34%
2.94
Away
34%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.45
Over 2.5
33%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.02
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
15%
5.82
6+ Goals
6%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+5.5pp
34%
Draw
30%
+3.3pp
34%
Away Win
42%
-8.8pp
67%
Under 2.5
65%
+1.4pp
33%
Over 2.5
35%
-1.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.8pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Amazonas v Atletico Paranaense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amazonas EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Paranaense EU Bookmakers 46%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.12/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.63/1.01
+8% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +115% / -17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
317 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
20.8 Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards –

Amazonas 0-1 Atletico Paranaense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amazonas
0-1
AWAY Atletico Paranaense
0.23 xG 1.87
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
314 Passes 202
78% Pass Accuracy 71%
10 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Amazonas vs Atletico Paranaense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Paranaense squeezed past Amazonas 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (33% / 34% / 34%) promised a tight game; Atletico Paranaense found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Amazonas had 58% of the ball to Atletico Paranaense's 42%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 0.23 to 1.87 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Atletico Paranaense's control.

What was the final score of Amazonas vs Atletico Paranaense?

Amazonas 0-1 Atletico Paranaense in the Brazil - Serie B on 06/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amazonas vs Atletico Paranaense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Paranaense win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Amazonas 33%, draw 34%, Atletico Paranaense 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/34/34) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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