Hwaseong 0-1 Bucheon 1995 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 6 Jul 2025

📅06/07/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.87
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
50%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
2.78
2-3 Goals
46%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
3.85
6+ Goals
7%
17.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.78 — our 30% vs market 29.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
13%
X/2
26%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
22%
-0.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
50%
Away Win
52%
-1.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.7pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hwaseong EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Bucheon 1995 EU Bookmakers 56%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.33/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.00
-67% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -1%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
245 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
12.8 Crosses 15.6
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hwaseong
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Bucheon 1995
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
4 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 9
226 Passes 419
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
5 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.05.2025 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 1-0 HT 0-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hwaseong
0-1
AWAY Bucheon 1995
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
241 Passes 413
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
11 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hwaseong vs Bucheon 1995
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bucheon 1995 nicked a narrow win over Hwaseong 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bucheon 1995 as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Hwaseong had 40% of the ball to Bucheon 1995's 60%, shots finished 8-14.

What was the final score of Hwaseong vs Bucheon 1995?

Hwaseong 0-1 Bucheon 1995 in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 06/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hwaseong vs Bucheon 1995?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bucheon 1995 win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Hwaseong 22%, draw 28%, Bucheon 1995 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bucheon 1995), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bucheon 1995) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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