Gimpo Citizen 3-0 Busan I Park — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 6 Jul 2025

📅06/07/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.33
2-3 Goals
36%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.72
6+ Goals
9%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+3.1pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.1pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.2pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimpo Citizen EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 45%
-3% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +18%
0.81/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.63
+9% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +23%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
320 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 76%
14.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
16.6 Crosses 20.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimpo Citizen
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Busan I Park
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
238 Passes 416
70% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2025 Busan I Park Busan I Park 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
24.08.2024 Busan I Park Busan I Park 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
23.06.2024 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 1-0 HT 1-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
17.03.2024 Busan I Park Busan I Park 0-1 HT 0-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
26.08.2023 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 2-3 HT 2-2 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
10.06.2023 Busan I Park Busan I Park 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimpo Citizen
3-0
AWAY Busan I Park
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 3
271 Passes 376
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Gimpo Citizen vs Busan I Park
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimpo Citizen cruised past Busan I Park 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 38%) promised a tight game; Gimpo Citizen found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gimpo Citizen had 43% of the ball to Busan I Park's 57%, shots finished 9-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimpo Citizen had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gimpo Citizen and 0.50 for Busan I Park.

What was the final score of Gimpo Citizen vs Busan I Park?

Gimpo Citizen 3-0 Busan I Park in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 06/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimpo Citizen vs Busan I Park?

Before kick-off our model rated an Busan I Park win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gimpo Citizen 33%, draw 29%, Busan I Park 38%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Busan I Park), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Busan I Park) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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