Busan I Park 0-1 Gimpo Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
31%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.71
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.32
6+ Goals
8%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
52%
-9.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
30%
Away Win
22%
+8.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.9pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimpo Citizen EU Bookmakers 25%
-8% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +29%
1.67/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.25
-28% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +6%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
380 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 72%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
15.6 Crosses 15.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Busan I Park
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Gimpo Citizen
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.89 xG 0.96
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
405 Passes 250
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2023 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 2-3 HT 2-2 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
10.06.2023 Busan I Park Busan I Park 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
19.04.2023 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 1-0 HT 1-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
17.09.2022 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 0-0 HT 0-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
06.07.2022 Busan I Park Busan I Park 0-3 HT 0-3 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
22.05.2022 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 1-0 HT 0-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Busan I Park
0-1
AWAY Gimpo Citizen
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 3
10 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Busan I Park vs Gimpo Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimpo Citizen edged past Busan I Park 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Busan I Park at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Busan I Park had 61% of the ball to Gimpo Citizen's 39%, shots finished 19-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimpo Citizen led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Busan I Park and 1.17 for Gimpo Citizen.

What was the final score of Busan I Park vs Gimpo Citizen?

Busan I Park 0-1 Gimpo Citizen in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Busan I Park vs Gimpo Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Busan I Park win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Busan I Park 42%, draw 27%, Gimpo Citizen 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Busan I Park) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Busan I Park) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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