Ansan Greeners 0-1 Suwon Bluewings — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.75
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
46%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.76
2-3 Goals
44%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
3.23
6+ Goals
9%
11.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
23%
+2.7pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.3pp
46%
Away Win
53%
-7.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.0pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ansan Greeners EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Suwon Bluewings EU Bookmakers 57%
-8% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-22% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 81%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.3 Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ansan Greeners
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Suwon Bluewings
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
12.04.2023 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 1-3 HT 0-0 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ansan Greeners
0-1
AWAY Suwon Bluewings
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Ansan Greeners vs Suwon Bluewings
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suwon Bluewings edged past Ansan Greeners 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Suwon Bluewings as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Ansan Greeners had 43% of the ball to Suwon Bluewings's 57%, shots finished 8-18.

What was the final score of Ansan Greeners vs Suwon Bluewings?

Ansan Greeners 0-1 Suwon Bluewings in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ansan Greeners vs Suwon Bluewings?

Before kick-off our model rated an Suwon Bluewings win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ansan Greeners 26%, draw 28%, Suwon Bluewings 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Suwon Bluewings) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Suwon Bluewings) ✗ BTTS Yes
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