Gimpo Citizen 1-0 Busan I Park — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 23 Jun 2024

📅23/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.51
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.72
6+ Goals
10%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+2.5pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.6pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-1.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimpo Citizen EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 48%
+1% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
0.86/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.72
-2% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -5%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
258 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 81%
14.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
17.6 Crosses 14.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimpo Citizen
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Busan I Park
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.94 xG 0.80
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
208 Passes 400
67% Pass Accuracy 80%
11 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.03.2024 Busan I Park Busan I Park 0-1 HT 0-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
26.08.2023 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 2-3 HT 2-2 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
10.06.2023 Busan I Park Busan I Park 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
19.04.2023 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 1-0 HT 1-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
17.09.2022 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 0-0 HT 0-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
06.07.2022 Busan I Park Busan I Park 0-3 HT 0-3 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimpo Citizen
1-0
AWAY Busan I Park
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Gimpo Citizen vs Busan I Park
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimpo Citizen squeezed past Busan I Park 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Busan I Park at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Gimpo Citizen had 43% of the ball to Busan I Park's 57%, shots finished 11-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimpo Citizen had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gimpo Citizen and 0.50 for Busan I Park.

What was the final score of Gimpo Citizen vs Busan I Park?

Gimpo Citizen 1-0 Busan I Park in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimpo Citizen vs Busan I Park?

Before kick-off our model rated an Busan I Park win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Gimpo Citizen 30%, draw 28%, Busan I Park 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Busan I Park) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Busan I Park) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GKOR2 More South Kore - K League Challenge
23 Jun 2024
13:00 Bucheon 1995 vs Cheongju FC Analysis →
13:00 Ansan Greeners vs Cheonan City Analysis →