Alianza Lima vs Binacional Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alianza Lima v Binacional — Team-Based Signals
Alianza Lima vs Binacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Alianza Lima
PER
6-1
HT 2-1
Binacional
PER
2-0
HT 1-0
Binacional
PER
1-0
HT 0-0
Alianza Lima
PER
3-2
HT 0-2
Binacional
PER
2-0
HT 0-0
Binacional
PER
Alianza Lima 5-1 Binacional — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Lima cruised past Binacional 5-1. Half-time: 4-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Alianza Lima as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Alianza Lima had 62% of the ball to Binacional's 38%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 2.86 to 0.36.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Lima had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Alianza Lima and 0.83 for Binacional.
What was the final score of Alianza Lima vs Binacional?
Alianza Lima 5-1 Binacional in the Peru - Premier League on 06/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alianza Lima vs Binacional?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Lima win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Alianza Lima 57%, draw 22%, Binacional 20%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Lima) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.