Alianza Universidad 2-0 Alianza Atletico — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 6 Jul 2025

📅06/07/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-3.5pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.5pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+1.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.8pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza Universidad EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza Atletico EU Bookmakers 36%
-20% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +9%
1.88/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.63
-49% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
297 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 74%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
18.8 Crosses 15.5
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza Universidad
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Alianza Atletico
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
19.08.2021 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 1-2 HT 0-1 Alianza Universidad Alianza Universidad PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alianza Universidad
2-0
AWAY Alianza Atletico
1.45 xG 1.02
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 8
194 Passes 329
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Alianza Universidad vs Alianza Atletico
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza Universidad beat Alianza Atletico 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 33%) promised a tight game; Alianza Universidad found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Alianza Universidad had 40% of the ball to Alianza Atletico's 60%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.45 to 1.02.

What was the final score of Alianza Universidad vs Alianza Atletico?

Alianza Universidad 2-0 Alianza Atletico in the Peru - Premier League on 06/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza Universidad vs Alianza Atletico?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Universidad win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Alianza Universidad 36%, draw 31%, Alianza Atletico 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Universidad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alianza Universidad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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