Texoma 2-0 Forward Madison — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 6 Jul 2025

📅06/07/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.17
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
51%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
6%
X/2
27%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
28%
-3.9pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
51%
Away Win
45%
+5.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Texoma EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Forward Madison EU Bookmakers 49%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.85/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.14
+57% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -13%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
321 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 83%
13.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
11.1 Crosses 16.3
3.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Texoma
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Forward Madison
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.56 xG 1.14
32% Ball Possession 68%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 10
159 Passes 444
71% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Box Touches 27
6 Crosses 38
5 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2025 Forward Madison Forward Madison 1-1 HT 0-0 Texoma USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Texoma
2-0
AWAY Forward Madison
1.37 xG 2.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 18
9 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
270 Passes 349
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 14
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Texoma vs Forward Madison
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Texoma got the better of Forward Madison 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Forward Madison at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Texoma had 45% of the ball to Forward Madison's 55%, shots finished 15-18, expected goals 1.37 to 2.17 — on chances, Forward Madison could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Texoma vs Forward Madison?

Texoma 2-0 Forward Madison in the USA - USL League 1 on 06/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Texoma vs Forward Madison?

Before kick-off our model rated an Forward Madison win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Texoma 24%, draw 25%, Forward Madison 51%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Forward Madison) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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