Forward Madison 1-1 Texoma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 20 Apr 2025

Forward Madison
1-1 HT 0-0
Texoma
📅20/04/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
USA - USL League 1 – 2025

Forward Madison vs Texoma Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.29
Draw
25%
4.95
Away
14%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.29
No
58%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
4%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
73%
-12.4pp
26%
Draw
17%
+8.4pp
14%
Away Win
10%
+4.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.8pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Forward Madison v Texoma — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forward Madison EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Texoma EU Bookmakers 12%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
2.36/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.26/3.03
-9% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -51%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
402 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.0
15.8 Crosses 9.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.0

Forward Madison 1-1 Texoma — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forward Madison
1-1
AWAY Texoma
1.14 xG 0.56
68% Ball Possession 32%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 1
444 Passes 159
87% Pass Accuracy 71%
27 Box Touches 12
38 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Forward Madison vs Texoma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forward Madison and Texoma couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Forward Madison carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Forward Madison had 68% of the ball to Texoma's 32%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.14 to 0.56.

What was the final score of Forward Madison vs Texoma?

Forward Madison 1-1 Texoma in the USA - USL League 1 on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forward Madison vs Texoma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forward Madison win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Forward Madison 61%, draw 26%, Texoma 14%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Forward Madison), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Forward Madison) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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