Chattanooga Red Wolves 1-0 Greenville Triumph — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.87
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
37%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
22%
+9.7pp
31%
Draw
24%
+6.5pp
37%
Away Win
53%
-16.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+4.2pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chattanooga Red Wolves EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Greenville Triumph EU Bookmakers 57%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.40/1.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.40/1.10
+41% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +68% / -37%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
265 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 79%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.7
12.6 Crosses 15.2
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chattanooga Red Wolves
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Greenville Triumph
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.54 xG 2.16
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
265 Passes 297
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 28
19 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2024 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 2-5 HT 1-2 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
02.06.2024 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 1-3 HT 1-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
08.10.2023 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 2-2 HT 2-0 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
24.08.2023 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 2-1 HT 2-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
22.06.2023 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 5-1 HT 3-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
07.08.2022 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 5-1 HT 2-1 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chattanooga Red Wolves
1-0
AWAY Greenville Triumph
1.45 xG 0.94
32% Ball Possession 68%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
169 Passes 458
68% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Greenville Triumph
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chattanooga Red Wolves squeezed past Greenville Triumph 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 31% / 37% — and on the day Chattanooga Red Wolves made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Chattanooga Red Wolves had 32% of the ball to Greenville Triumph's 68%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.45 to 0.94.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greenville Triumph led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Chattanooga Red Wolves and 2.67 for Greenville Triumph.

What was the final score of Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Greenville Triumph?

Chattanooga Red Wolves 1-0 Greenville Triumph in the USA - USL League 1 on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Greenville Triumph?

Before kick-off our model rated an Greenville Triumph win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Chattanooga Red Wolves 32%, draw 31%, Greenville Triumph 37%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Greenville Triumph) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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