Chattanooga Red Wolves 2-5 Greenville Triumph — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 15 Sep 2024

Chattanooga Red Wolves
2-5 HT 1-2
Greenville Triumph
📅15/09/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
USA - USL League 1 – 2024

Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Greenville Triumph Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
45%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
21%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+2.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
45%
Away Win
47%
-1.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.0pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chattanooga Red Wolves v Greenville Triumph — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chattanooga Red Wolves EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Greenville Triumph EU Bookmakers 51%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.30/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.06
+43% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
358 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
17.4 Crosses 19.7
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Greenville Triumph Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chattanooga Red Wolves
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Greenville Triumph
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.57 xG 1.78
52% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
277 Passes 253
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.06.2024 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 1-3 HT 1-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
08.10.2023 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 2-2 HT 2-0 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
24.08.2023 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 2-1 HT 2-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
22.06.2023 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 5-1 HT 3-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
07.08.2022 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 5-1 HT 2-1 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
29.05.2022 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 0-1 HT 0-0 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1

Chattanooga Red Wolves 2-5 Greenville Triumph — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chattanooga Red Wolves
2-5
AWAY Greenville Triumph
1.32 xG 3.44
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 6
262 Passes 482
78% Pass Accuracy 89%
24 Box Touches 32
7 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Greenville Triumph
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greenville Triumph cruised past Chattanooga Red Wolves 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Greenville Triumph as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Chattanooga Red Wolves had 38% of the ball to Greenville Triumph's 62%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 1.32 to 3.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greenville Triumph led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Chattanooga Red Wolves and 2.00 for Greenville Triumph.

What was the final score of Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Greenville Triumph?

Chattanooga Red Wolves 2-5 Greenville Triumph in the USA - USL League 1 on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Greenville Triumph?

Before kick-off our model rated an Greenville Triumph win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Chattanooga Red Wolves 31%, draw 24%, Greenville Triumph 45%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Greenville Triumph) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Greenville Triumph)
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