Northern Colorado 2-3 Union Omaha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.9
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
22%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-2.0pp
31%
Draw
25%
+6.0pp
22%
Away Win
26%
-4.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.7pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Northern Colorado EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Omaha EU Bookmakers 30%
-5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +11%
1.38/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/0.82
+1% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +70%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
347 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 79%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
19.2 Crosses 15.8
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Northern Colorado
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Union Omaha
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.97 xG 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
324 Passes 293
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.06.2024 Union Omaha Union Omaha 1-2 HT 1-0 Northern Colorado Northern Colorado USL1
13.08.2023 Northern Colorado Northern Colorado 2-3 HT 1-2 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
16.07.2023 Northern Colorado Northern Colorado 2-0 HT 1-0 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
30.04.2023 Union Omaha Union Omaha 3-2 HT 2-0 Northern Colorado Northern Colorado USL1
22.09.2022 Northern Colorado Northern Colorado 2-1 HT 1-0 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
14.08.2022 Union Omaha Union Omaha 1-1 HT 1-0 Northern Colorado Northern Colorado USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Northern Colorado
2-3
AWAY Union Omaha
1.38 xG 1.52
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 5
378 Passes 218
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Northern Colorado vs Union Omaha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Omaha edged past Northern Colorado 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Northern Colorado at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Northern Colorado had 61% of the ball to Union Omaha's 39%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 1.38 to 1.52.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Northern Colorado had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Northern Colorado and 1.50 for Union Omaha.

What was the final score of Northern Colorado vs Union Omaha?

Northern Colorado 2-3 Union Omaha in the USA - USL League 1 on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Northern Colorado vs Union Omaha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Northern Colorado win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Northern Colorado 47%, draw 31%, Union Omaha 22%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Northern Colorado), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Northern Colorado) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USL1 More USA - USL League 1
15 Sep 2024
02:00 Charlotte Independence vs Richmond Kickers Analysis →
02:30 Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Greenville Triumph Analysis →
04:00 Spokane Velocity vs Tormenta Analysis →