Naples vs One Knoxville Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Naples v One Knoxville — Team-Based Signals
Naples 0-1 One Knoxville — Actual Match Statistics
One Knoxville edged past Naples 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Naples at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Naples had 56% of the ball to One Knoxville's 44%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.44 to 1.96 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold One Knoxville's control.
What was the final score of Naples vs One Knoxville?
Naples 0-1 One Knoxville in the USA - USL League 1 on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Naples vs One Knoxville?
Before kick-off our model rated a Naples win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Naples 41%, draw 33%, One Knoxville 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Naples) went the other way.