Richmond Kickers 4-4 Westchester SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.25
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
41%
-5.4pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.7pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.3pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Richmond Kickers EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Westchester SC EU Bookmakers 36%
-8% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.34/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/2.26
+0% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +46%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
303 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 81%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
19.0 Crosses 18.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Richmond Kickers
4-4
AWAY Westchester SC
2.37 xG 3.03
46% Ball Possession 54%
17 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 8
296 Passes 339
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Richmond Kickers vs Westchester SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Richmond Kickers and Westchester SC shared the points in a 4-4 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Richmond Kickers had 46% of the ball to Westchester SC's 54%, shots finished 17-16, expected goals 2.37 to 3.03.

What was the final score of Richmond Kickers vs Westchester SC?

Richmond Kickers 4-4 Westchester SC in the USA - USL League 1 on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Richmond Kickers vs Westchester SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Richmond Kickers win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Richmond Kickers 35%, draw 31%, Westchester SC 34%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Richmond Kickers), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Richmond Kickers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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