Charlotte Independence 3-2 Tormenta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.0
Over 2.5
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-0.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-2.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+2.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.1pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlotte Independence EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Tormenta EU Bookmakers 34%
+8% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +14%
1.60/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.29
+24% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
18.0 Crosses 13.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlotte Independence
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Tormenta
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.99 xG 1.52
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
320 Passes 442
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2024 Tormenta Tormenta 3-3 HT 1-1 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
02.06.2024 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 1-1 HT 1-0 Tormenta Tormenta USL1
15.10.2023 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 1-1 HT 0-0 Tormenta Tormenta USL1
13.08.2023 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 3-2 HT 3-1 Tormenta Tormenta USL1
26.03.2023 Tormenta Tormenta 1-3 HT 1-1 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
23.10.2022 Tormenta Tormenta 2-1 HT 0-1 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charlotte Independence
3-2
AWAY Tormenta
1.76 xG 1.92
37% Ball Possession 63%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 7
269 Passes 495
83% Pass Accuracy 90%
26 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Charlotte Independence vs Tormenta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlotte Independence squeezed past Tormenta 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Charlotte Independence as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Charlotte Independence had 37% of the ball to Tormenta's 63%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.76 to 1.92.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charlotte Independence had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Charlotte Independence and 1.67 for Tormenta.

What was the final score of Charlotte Independence vs Tormenta?

Charlotte Independence 3-2 Tormenta in the USA - USL League 1 on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlotte Independence vs Tormenta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlotte Independence win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Charlotte Independence 44%, draw 24%, Tormenta 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charlotte Independence), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Charlotte Independence) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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