Tormenta 3-3 Charlotte Independence — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
38%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-5.0pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
38%
Away Win
30%
+7.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.8pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tormenta EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlotte Independence EU Bookmakers 34%
-16% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -2%
1.37/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.85
-20% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
361 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
18.5 Crosses 15.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tormenta
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Charlotte Independence
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.35 xG 1.14
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
391 Passes 365
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.06.2024 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 1-1 HT 1-0 Tormenta Tormenta USL1
15.10.2023 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 1-1 HT 0-0 Tormenta Tormenta USL1
13.08.2023 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 3-2 HT 3-1 Tormenta Tormenta USL1
26.03.2023 Tormenta Tormenta 1-3 HT 1-1 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
23.10.2022 Tormenta Tormenta 2-1 HT 0-1 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
01.09.2022 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 0-2 HT 0-1 Tormenta Tormenta USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tormenta
3-3
AWAY Charlotte Independence
1.39 xG 0.90
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
425 Passes 300
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 17
26 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tormenta vs Charlotte Independence
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tormenta and Charlotte Independence couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 23% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Tormenta had 58% of the ball to Charlotte Independence's 42%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.39 to 0.90.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tormenta and 1.50 for Charlotte Independence.

What was the final score of Tormenta vs Charlotte Independence?

Tormenta 3-3 Charlotte Independence in the USA - USL League 1 on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tormenta vs Charlotte Independence?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tormenta win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Tormenta 39%, draw 23%, Charlotte Independence 38%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tormenta) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tormenta) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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