Richmond Kickers vs Lexington Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Richmond Kickers v Lexington — Team-Based Signals
Richmond Kickers vs Lexington Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Richmond Kickers
USL1
2-2
HT 1-2
Richmond Kickers
USL1
2-1
HT 0-0
Lexington
USL1
Richmond Kickers 3-0 Lexington — Actual Match Statistics
Richmond Kickers swept aside Lexington 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Richmond Kickers as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Richmond Kickers had 48% of the ball to Lexington's 52%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 0.95 to 0.75.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Lexington led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Richmond Kickers and 1.50 for Lexington.
What was the final score of Richmond Kickers vs Lexington?
Richmond Kickers 3-0 Lexington in the USA - USL League 1 on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Richmond Kickers vs Lexington?
Before kick-off our model rated a Richmond Kickers win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Richmond Kickers 45%, draw 20%, Lexington 36%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Richmond Kickers), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.