Lexington vs Richmond Kickers Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lexington v Richmond Kickers — Team-Based Signals
Lexington vs Richmond Kickers Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Richmond Kickers
USL1
2-2
HT 1-2
Richmond Kickers
USL1
2-1
HT 0-0
Lexington
USL1
Lexington 2-1 Richmond Kickers — Actual Match Statistics
Lexington squeezed past Richmond Kickers 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and on the day Lexington made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Lexington had 48% of the ball to Richmond Kickers's 52%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.55 to 1.49.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lexington and 1.33 for Richmond Kickers.
What was the final score of Lexington vs Richmond Kickers?
Lexington 2-1 Richmond Kickers in the USA - USL League 1 on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lexington vs Richmond Kickers?
Before kick-off our model rated an Richmond Kickers win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lexington 35%, draw 25%, Richmond Kickers 40%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Richmond Kickers) went the other way.