Union Omaha 0-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
29%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.59
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
68%
-17.4pp
21%
Draw
18%
+2.7pp
29%
Away Win
14%
+14.7pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.8pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Omaha EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Chattanooga Red Wolves EU Bookmakers 17%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -21%
1.71/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/2.29
-13% / +78% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -25%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
394 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 76%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
22.7 Crosses 22.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Omaha
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Chattanooga Red Wolves
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.67 xG 0.94
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
291 Passes 337
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.06.2024 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 2-5 HT 1-3 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
17.09.2023 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 2-3 HT 1-3 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
20.08.2023 Union Omaha Union Omaha 2-1 HT 1-0 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
21.05.2023 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 3-3 HT 0-1 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
23.10.2022 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 1-0 HT 0-0 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
04.09.2022 Union Omaha Union Omaha 2-1 HT 0-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Omaha
0-1
AWAY Chattanooga Red Wolves
2.92 xG 0.69
72% Ball Possession 28%
25 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 3
455 Passes 139
86% Pass Accuracy 65%
47 Box Touches 10
29 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Union Omaha vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chattanooga Red Wolves squeezed past Union Omaha 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Union Omaha at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Union Omaha had 72% of the ball to Chattanooga Red Wolves's 28%, shots finished 25-11, expected goals 2.92 to 0.69 — on chances, Union Omaha could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Omaha had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Union Omaha and 1.67 for Chattanooga Red Wolves.

What was the final score of Union Omaha vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

Union Omaha 0-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves in the USA - USL League 1 on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Omaha vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Omaha win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Union Omaha 51%, draw 21%, Chattanooga Red Wolves 29%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Union Omaha) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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