Spokane Velocity 2-4 Charlotte Independence — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
29%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
43%
+3.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
29%
Away Win
32%
-2.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.5pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spokane Velocity EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlotte Independence EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -4%
2.07/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.88
-33% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 76%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
21.0 Crosses 15.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spokane Velocity
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Charlotte Independence
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.03 xG 0.98
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
543 Passes 317
88% Pass Accuracy 79%
41 Box Touches 18
38 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 0
29.03.2024 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 2-1 HT 0-0 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spokane Velocity
2-4
AWAY Charlotte Independence
1.73 xG 3.01
64% Ball Possession 36%
11 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
543 Passes 269
89% Pass Accuracy 79%
37 Box Touches 22
25 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Spokane Velocity vs Charlotte Independence
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlotte Independence saw off Spokane Velocity 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Spokane Velocity at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Spokane Velocity had 64% of the ball to Charlotte Independence's 36%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.73 to 3.01.

What was the final score of Spokane Velocity vs Charlotte Independence?

Spokane Velocity 2-4 Charlotte Independence in the USA - USL League 1 on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spokane Velocity vs Charlotte Independence?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spokane Velocity win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Spokane Velocity 47%, draw 24%, Charlotte Independence 29%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Spokane Velocity) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spokane Velocity) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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