Central Valley Fuego 3-2 Tormenta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
33%
-2.3pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
42%
Away Win
42%
+0.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.4pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central Valley Fuego EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Tormenta EU Bookmakers 46%
-25% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.33/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.10
-32% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
307 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 79%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
20.7 Crosses 14.4
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Central Valley Fuego
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Tormenta
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.47 xG 1.41
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
309 Passes 315
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.03.2024 Tormenta Tormenta 1-2 HT 0-2 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego USL1
10.08.2023 Tormenta Tormenta 2-1 HT 1-0 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego USL1
21.05.2023 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego 3-2 HT 1-1 Tormenta Tormenta USL1
28.08.2022 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego 0-2 HT 0-1 Tormenta Tormenta USL1
03.07.2022 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego 0-1 HT 0-0 Tormenta Tormenta USL1
22.05.2022 Tormenta Tormenta 0-4 HT 0-4 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Central Valley Fuego
3-2
AWAY Tormenta
1.79 xG 2.71
53% Ball Possession 47%
20 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
322 Passes 264
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 24
26 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Central Valley Fuego vs Tormenta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central Valley Fuego edged past Tormenta 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Tormenta at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Central Valley Fuego had 53% of the ball to Tormenta's 47%, shots finished 20-16, expected goals 1.79 to 2.71 — on chances, Tormenta could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Central Valley Fuego and 1.33 for Tormenta.

What was the final score of Central Valley Fuego vs Tormenta?

Central Valley Fuego 3-2 Tormenta in the USA - USL League 1 on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central Valley Fuego vs Tormenta?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tormenta win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Central Valley Fuego 31%, draw 27%, Tormenta 42%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tormenta) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tormenta) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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