Tormenta 1-2 Central Valley Fuego — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 10 Mar 2024

Tormenta
1-2 HT 0-2
Central Valley Fuego
📅10/03/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
USA - USL League 1 – 2024

Tormenta vs Central Valley Fuego Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.61
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.33
Over 2.5
60%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
58%
-2.5pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.5pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+3.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
39%
+0.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
61%
-0.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.6pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tormenta v Central Valley Fuego — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tormenta EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Central Valley Fuego EU Bookmakers 23%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +13%
1.96/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.42
-14% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
31.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
19.7 Crosses 14.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5

Tormenta vs Central Valley Fuego Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tormenta
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Central Valley Fuego
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
1.43 xG 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
298 Passes 342
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
10.08.2023 Tormenta Tormenta 2-1 HT 1-0 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego USL1
21.05.2023 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego 3-2 HT 1-1 Tormenta Tormenta USL1
28.08.2022 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego 0-2 HT 0-1 Tormenta Tormenta USL1
03.07.2022 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego 0-1 HT 0-0 Tormenta Tormenta USL1
22.05.2022 Tormenta Tormenta 0-4 HT 0-4 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego USL1

Tormenta 1-2 Central Valley Fuego — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tormenta
1-2
AWAY Central Valley Fuego
1.28 xG 2.17
67% Ball Possession 33%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
400 Passes 144
82% Pass Accuracy 60%
26 Box Touches 20
35 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tormenta vs Central Valley Fuego
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central Valley Fuego edged past Tormenta 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

This one beat our numbers. Tormenta carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Tormenta had 67% of the ball to Central Valley Fuego's 33%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 1.28 to 2.17.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Tormenta had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Tormenta and 1.60 for Central Valley Fuego.

What was the final score of Tormenta vs Central Valley Fuego?

Tormenta 1-2 Central Valley Fuego in the USA - USL League 1 on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tormenta vs Central Valley Fuego?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tormenta win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Tormenta 55%, draw 22%, Central Valley Fuego 23%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tormenta) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tormenta) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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