Lexington 0-0 Northern Colorado — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.17
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
46%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
11%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
28%
+0.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
45%
Away Win
47%
-1.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+0.8pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lexington EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Northern Colorado EU Bookmakers 51%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.60/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.25
+4% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
284 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 76%
16.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
12.9 Crosses 16.0
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lexington
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Northern Colorado
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
2.40 xG 1.70
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
346 Passes 222
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 3
07.09.2023 Northern Colorado Northern Colorado 3-2 HT 2-0 Lexington Lexington USL1
06.08.2023 Northern Colorado Northern Colorado 3-4 HT 2-1 Lexington Lexington USL1
04.06.2023 Lexington Lexington 2-2 HT 1-2 Northern Colorado Northern Colorado USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lexington
0-0
AWAY Northern Colorado
0.77 xG 0.50
62% Ball Possession 38%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 2
464 Passes 258
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
8 Box Touches 8
7 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lexington vs Northern Colorado
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lexington and Northern Colorado played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Northern Colorado at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lexington had 62% of the ball to Northern Colorado's 38%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.77 to 0.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Lexington and 2.67 for Northern Colorado.

What was the final score of Lexington vs Northern Colorado?

Lexington 0-0 Northern Colorado in the USA - USL League 1 on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lexington vs Northern Colorado?

Before kick-off our model rated an Northern Colorado win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Lexington 28%, draw 26%, Northern Colorado 45%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Northern Colorado) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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