Union Omaha 1-0 One Knoxville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-6.6pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.8pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Omaha EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY One Knoxville EU Bookmakers 28%
+4% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +28%
1.40/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/0.98
+31% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +100%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 76%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
19.4 Crosses 16.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Omaha
3W-1D-0L
AWAY One Knoxville
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
0.77 xG 0.81
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
286 Passes 309
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
13.04.2024 One Knoxville One Knoxville 0-1 HT 0-0 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
06.08.2023 Union Omaha Union Omaha 3-1 HT 1-0 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
19.07.2023 One Knoxville One Knoxville 1-2 HT 1-1 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
22.06.2023 Union Omaha Union Omaha 1-1 HT 0-0 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Omaha
1-0
AWAY One Knoxville
0.36 xG 1.23
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 5
255 Passes 409
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
8 Box Touches 13
5 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Union Omaha vs One Knoxville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Omaha edged past One Knoxville 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Union Omaha as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Union Omaha had 40% of the ball to One Knoxville's 60%, shots finished 5-7, expected goals 0.36 to 1.23 — on chances, One Knoxville could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Union Omaha had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Union Omaha and 0.75 for One Knoxville.

What was the final score of Union Omaha vs One Knoxville?

Union Omaha 1-0 One Knoxville in the USA - USL League 1 on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Omaha vs One Knoxville?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Omaha win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Union Omaha 44%, draw 28%, One Knoxville 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Omaha), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Union Omaha) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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