Forward Madison 2-0 Spokane Velocity — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
33%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-6.7pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.6pp
33%
Away Win
22%
+11.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.8pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forward Madison EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Spokane Velocity EU Bookmakers 25%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.61/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/2.35
-31% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +72% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
319 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 75%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.9
17.2 Crosses 18.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forward Madison
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Spokane Velocity
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.80 xG 1.62
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
386 Passes 465
84% Pass Accuracy 88%
14 Box Touches 25
9 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.05.2024 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity 0-3 HT 0-2 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forward Madison
2-0
AWAY Spokane Velocity
1.00 xG 0.11
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 2
475 Passes 443
89% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 9
12 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Forward Madison vs Spokane Velocity
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forward Madison got the better of Spokane Velocity 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Forward Madison as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Forward Madison had 50% of the ball to Spokane Velocity's 50%, shots finished 17-4, expected goals 1.00 to 0.11.

What was the final score of Forward Madison vs Spokane Velocity?

Forward Madison 2-0 Spokane Velocity in the USA - USL League 1 on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forward Madison vs Spokane Velocity?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forward Madison win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Forward Madison 47%, draw 20%, Spokane Velocity 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forward Madison), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Forward Madison) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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