Alta 1-2 Spokane Velocity — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
34%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.7
No
40%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.0pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.7pp
34%
Away Win
41%
-6.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
55%
+5.5pp
40%
BTTS No
45%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alta EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Spokane Velocity EU Bookmakers 45%
+59% / +59% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.93/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/0.81
+51% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -64% / +150%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
271 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.9
7.0 Crosses 18.3
5.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alta
1-2
AWAY Spokane Velocity
0.56 xG 2.02
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 4
456 Passes 201
90% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 25
33 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Alta vs Spokane Velocity
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spokane Velocity edged past Alta 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 34%) promised a tight game; Spokane Velocity found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Alta had 66% of the ball to Spokane Velocity's 34%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 0.56 to 2.02 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Spokane Velocity's control.

What was the final score of Alta vs Spokane Velocity?

Alta 1-2 Spokane Velocity in the USA - USL League 1 on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alta vs Spokane Velocity?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alta win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Alta 35%, draw 31%, Spokane Velocity 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alta) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alta) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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